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International Journal of Statistika And Mathematika, ISSN:2249-8605

Volume 1, Issue 1, 2011 pp 16-29

Date of Publish: 28 Sept 2011

Research Article

Uses of Statistical Methodology in HIV/AIDS.

Ramesh S. Patil¹, Sajjan C.G.² and Nagaraja Rao C³

¹Lecturer/ Statistician, Department of Community Medicine, Navodaya Medical College, Raichur � 584101

²Lecturer, Veershaiva College, Bellary -583104

³Professor, Department of Statistics, Vijaya College, Bangalore-560004

Received 20 Sept 2011; Revised 24 Sept 2011;Accepted 28 Sept 2011

Academic Editor: Dr. Jadhav V.A.

Abstract

Projections of AIDS incidence are critical for assessing future health care needs. There is need for more accurate forecasts for the future course of the epidemic. Projections for the future of the epidemic have most often taken the form of trying to estimate how many new AIDS cases will be diagnosed (or reported) over some span of future years. Projections are very central for planning interventions and managing the available resources as they provide very valuable information on the number of undiagnosed infections. Issues that are necessary to the understanding and management of AIDS have generated several statistical challenges such as the choice of infection density, estimation of incubation period distribution, and dealing with sensitivity and studying of incomplete data. There were various mathematical and statistical approaches have been proposed to predict the future AIDS cases. In studying of AIDS, our main interest is in understanding the current situation and predicting the future path